Bob Wachter MD/Twitter:
Some folks are a bit confused about why things are likely to be much safer in a month than now – not why virus will peak & fall (we don’t entirely know) but why the risk to individuals will plummet – & with that, why activities that are unsafe now will be much safer then
There are about a dozen factors that go into a risk assessment, and only one of them will fundamentally change: the probability that a person near me is infectious.
Let’s go through the other factors to isolate the one that makes virtually all the difference
Let’s go through the other factors to isolate the one that makes virtually all the difference