New poll suggests a Trump conviction could cost him votes

2 weeks ago 30

Supporters of Donald Trump who are most likely to reconsider their support if he is convicted in his Manhattan hush money trial have very Joe Biden-friendly profiles, according to a CNN poll on Americans’ views of the criminal proceedings.

While three-quarters of current Trump supporters said a criminal conviction would be immaterial to them, 24% said they "might reconsider" their support. In other words, of all the voters supporting Trump in the survey, 76% were MAGA diehards, while roughly a quarter were more malleable.   

So let's take a look at a profile of these squishier Trump supporters, according to the survey:

  • They are younger: 64% who said they might reconsider were under 50.

  • They are less likely to be white: 49% who said a conviction could matter were people of color, while just 17% of whites said the same.

  • 63% said Biden legitimately won 2020.

  • 20% said they backed Biden in 2020.

  • 49% are independents.

  • 50% are ideological moderates.

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