New polls show RFK Jr. might be a bigger threat to Trump than expected

3 weeks ago 21

Two new high-quality polls suggest an electoral dagger could be coming for Donald Trump—if their findings persist. Both polls, from Marist College and NBC News, show third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. siphoning more support away from Trump than President Joe Biden.

The potential emerging trend was first spotted by The Washington Post's Aaron Blake.

In the NBC poll, Biden trailed Trump by 2 points in the head-to-head matchup, 44% to 46%. But when the survey was expanded to include RFK Jr., Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and Harvard professor Cornel West, Biden notched a 2-point lead over Trump.

  • Biden: 39%.

  • Trump: 37%. 

  • Kennedy: 13%. 

  • Jill Stein: 3%.  

  • Cornel West: 2%.

The disparity in outcomes is mainly driven by RFK Jr., who picks up 15% of Trump's support in the head-to-head while attracting only 7% of Biden's original voters.

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